State-Dependent Parameter Relevance in Intensive Care: Syndrome-Specific Centroids Improve Orbit-Based Mortality Prediction from AUC 0.59 to 0.83 in 59,362 Predictions
By extending the Therapeutic Distance framework to incorporate state-dependent parameter relevance across 16 clinical syndromes in 84,176 ICU patients, this study demonstrates that syndrome-specific centroids significantly improve orbit-based mortality prediction (AUC 0.83) over established severity scores and standard machine learning models, while maintaining robustness to temporal drift and hyperparameter variations.